Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Estonia vs Turkiye
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a2a4c26dd1f2b346a1b092d9adb46c07509d778c2d74151ef97407c33d47d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estoniaof Estonia, Turkiye
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Turkiye | 19c | 5,586$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.05 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Estonia | 80c | 5,123$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.58 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Turkiye | 11c | 1,607$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Turkiye | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…9b0abacked Turkiye | 10c | 1,419$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Turkiye | 1c | 1,152$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Estonia | 68c | 976.79$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Turkiye | 34c | 973.76$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Turkiye | 24c | 921.49$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Turkiye | 19c | 890.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Turkiye | 24c | 690.89$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…dbe4backed Estonia | 77c | 625$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Turkiye | 16c | 548.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Turkiye | 22c | 430.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Turkiye | 19c | 319.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Estonia | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…39d6backed Turkiye | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Turkiye | 13c | 218.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Turkiye | 25c | 184.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Estonia | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Turkiye | 17c | 127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3758…5c70backed Estonia | 72c | 125.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Turkiye | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Turkiye | 36c | 107.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Estonia | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Turkiye | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Turkiye | 18c | 92.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Turkiye | 20c | 92.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Estonia | 70c | 89.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Turkiye | 33c | 87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Estonia | 63c | 86.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Turkiye | 17c | 86.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Estonia | 76c | 81.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Turkiye | 34c | 70.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Estonia | 79c | 70.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Turkiye | 19c | 69.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked Turkiye | 27c | 68.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Turkiye | 37c | 67.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Estonia | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Turkiye | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Turkiye | 28c | 57.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Estonia | 72c | 55.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Turkiye | 38c | 52.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Estonia | 63c | 51.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Estonia | 78c | 50.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Turkiye | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Turkiye | 37c | 46.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Turkiye | 23c | 45.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Estonia | 79c | 44.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Estonia | 65c | 42.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Estonia | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…8ddfbacked Estonia | 78c | 39.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Estonia | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Estonia | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Turkiye | 35c | 35.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…f217backed Estonia | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Estonia | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Estonia | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…5d8ebacked Estonia | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Estonia | 74c | 22.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Estonia | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Estonia | 68c | 17.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Estonia | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Estonia | 73c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.