CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27dcd7170a476616544b9bef30494567c880c79ceaf615943b35d540307416ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 53c | 2,649$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.39 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Under | 46c | 2,178$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 54c | 2,063$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.8 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.12 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 4c | 1,010$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,009$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.86 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 49c | 995$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.43 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 19c | 510.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under | 59c | 320.34$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…6fcdbacked Over | 55c | 311.79$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 51c | 218.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 53c | 193.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 52c | 176.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 47c | 111.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Over | 49c | 103.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…1345backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…de09backed Over | 48c | 63.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed Over | 73c | 53.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Over | 59c | 50.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…dbe2backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…8607backed Over | 48c | 27.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.