CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea5dc8a77daca8e2162cda6e20a3c350fe0158da825403732f348ad1c129cbe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vitality, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Team Falcons | 58c | 5,789$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.22 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…7011backed Vitality | 42c | 4,759$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Team Falcons | 61c | 4,396$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,650$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Vitality | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Vitality | 40c | 872$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vitality | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 575.91$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.02 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality | 38c | 575.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Vitality | 39c | 555$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Vitality | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitality | 36c | 400.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 40c | 391.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed Vitality | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Vitality | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Vitality | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…35efbacked Vitality | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Vitality | 39c | 115.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Vitality | 30c | 97.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Vitality | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Team Falcons | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Vitality | 36c | 45.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Vitality | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Vitality | 42c | 25.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.