CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e509d23b97b04ec3cbae2a74f1f89df57a60d5a89215f9972fad90dfb39e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd035…f165backed paiN Academy | 22c | 1,250$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN Academy | 38c | 1,124$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.67 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN Academy | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Keyd | 79c | 864.98$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Keyd | 77c | 657.09$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Keyd | 76c | 595.21$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy | 18c | 546.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Keyd | 79c | 480$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed paiN Academy | 25c | 459.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Keyd | 79c | 356$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Keyd | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed paiN Academy | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Keyd | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed paiN Academy | 16c | 186.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed paiN Academy | 19c | 178.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Academy | 20c | 147.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Keyd | 77c | 109$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Keyd | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Keyd | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Keyd | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Keyd | 76c | 50.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Keyd | 75c | 40.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…6699backed Keyd | 78c | 31.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Keyd | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Keyd | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Keyd | 78c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.