Tennis · resolved market
Bonn: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Niels McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x282266323aa4b78c820d672eb3788ba5399b8797087e5dc3d73c243100969f61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niels McDonaldof Dimitris Sakellaridis, Niels McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dimitris Sakellaridis | 9c | 1,133$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dimitris Sakellaridis | 14c | 613.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 33c | 503.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 27c | 376.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dimitris Sakellaridis | 19c | 340$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Dimitris Sakellaridis | 20c | 292.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 12c | 249.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 27.9%57 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 7c | 229.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2,078 | 46.7%970 W · 1,108 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Niels McDonald | 74c | 211.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 14c | 174.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 988 | 55.5%548 W · 440 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Niels McDonald | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 177 | 58.8%104 W · 73 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 15c | 119.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2,859 | 47.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L | +37.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Dimitris Sakellaridis | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Dimitris Sakellaridis | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Niels McDonald | 77c | 98.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Niels McDonald | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 24c | 83.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Dimitris Sakellaridis | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Niels McDonald | 76c | 75.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Niels McDonald | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Niels McDonald | 76c | 38.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dimitris Sakellaridis | 29c | 37.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Niels McDonald | 77c | 31.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Niels McDonald | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,800 | 47.2%849 W · 951 L | -45.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bonn: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Niels McDonaldthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sakellaridis vs McDonaldMcDonald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.