La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2828ff86c627d763d12781cf5f62c14621843f2d1cf56fc715c000dd32d9507c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 50c | 28,801$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400.39 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 5,603$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.71 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 1,602$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.3 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 49c | 799.3$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.64 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…43e8backed Yes | 51c | 716.93$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 652.33$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 54c | 626.56$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.41 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 45c | 427.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…6ab5backed No | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6e…84f5backed No | 47c | 318$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba25…524fbacked Yes | 53c | 312$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…7f08backed Yes | 53c | 310$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…b05ebacked Yes | 53c | 309$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…c8a5backed No | 47c | 303$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…37c2backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 291.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…7e97backed No | 47c | 290$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 54c | 213.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…ed95backed No | 47c | 202.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9d…143dbacked Yes | 53c | 202$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…4881backed Yes | 53c | 201$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…ae7bbacked No | 47c | 201$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 50c | 179.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 51c | 147.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 49c | 145.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 10c | 139.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 34c | 137.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 24c | 84.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 52c | 80.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 53c | 44.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Yes | 52c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9276…081ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 35.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…0469backed No | 45c | 32.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Yes | 51c | 32.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…6929backed Yes | 56c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…925fbacked No | 46c | 25.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 45c | 23.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…ad25backed Yes | 56c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…767cbacked Yes | 56c | 18.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.