Lol · resolved market
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x284bbc6078f255f344186d281a0432d0c5e5e650ef6b49f63703a8f7443f83f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KaBuM! Ilha das Lendasof KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas, RED Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RED Academy | 12c | 3,679$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.59 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RED Academy | 18c | 3,514$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.15 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 80c | 2,736$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.18 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed RED Academy | 19c | 2,021$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed RED Academy | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed RED Academy | 20c | 455.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked RED Academy | 19c | 412.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed RED Academy | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ba0backed RED Academy | 16c | 383.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RED Academy | 15c | 329.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed RED Academy | 12c | 326.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…be9bbacked RED Academy | 20c | 309.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked RED Academy | 12c | 291.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed RED Academy | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked RED Academy | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RED Academy | 20c | 224.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed RED Academy | 20c | 215.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RED Academy | 9c | 211.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed RED Academy | 18c | 207.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked RED Academy | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked RED Academy | 11c | 198.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RED Academy | 18c | 198.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RED Academy | 17c | 161.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed RED Academy | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked RED Academy | 18c | 144$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked RED Academy | 20c | 132.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RED Academy | 20c | 132.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked RED Academy | 20c | 130.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed RED Academy | 23c | 128.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed RED Academy | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed RED Academy | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed RED Academy | 20c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 77c | 66.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 79c | 61.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed RED Academy | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed RED Academy | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.