TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,103 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under57c48,299$27,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,582.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over43c33,803$14,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,267.711650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c4,663$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.765,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over42c3,177$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.933,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c1,085$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.088,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under63c977.8$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.014163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Under51c912.79$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4514443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab3…5e13backed Under10c632.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0580%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6492…de49backed Over43c579.48$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c393.54$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9916740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over28c351.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over31c287.58$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.432839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over70c281.06$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6612645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over42c249.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over57c241.91$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9529362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over42c240.82$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8833560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over57c238.42$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.526162.3%38 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over42c238.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.416653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over42c228.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.022572%18 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over42c206.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over42c184.83$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3212361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Over10c175.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over43c158.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7947756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under60c153.64$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.141,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over43c125$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.251,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over43c125$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.251,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over43c125$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.252,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over42c121.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.028961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under14c119.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over42c119.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.681662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Over43c104.78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.722268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over43c101.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.853764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc82…3918backed Under69c98.14$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.721040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over42c97.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.318154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over42c96.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.926160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9883642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over42c95.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1617857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over43c89.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.24568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over43c88.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.719056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over42c82.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9128158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over43c76.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6210456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c5…cf83backed Over43c74.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over31c69.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7219630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Under36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.045549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over43c65.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6418859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over43c64.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.833773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over42c62.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3942962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over38c61.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.319963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over42c61.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.483154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under64c58.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.632657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over28c58.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.832540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over43c57.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.817857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over42c56.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over42c56.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7619955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over43c56.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6115654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over43c56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1616255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under70c51.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9724654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under64c50.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.491154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e3…242cbacked Over36c50.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.16825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Over42c47.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.712853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over43c47.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.077660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c45.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over35c44.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Over45c42.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over43c41.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.79361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over43c39.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.754374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over42c39.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4916160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over43c38.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.928964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over43c35.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2212259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under57c33.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.497048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over42c31.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.474957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over42c31.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over43c31.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.845860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over43c30.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.335362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over42c29.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Under78c29.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over42c26.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.124866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over42c26.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.124761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4812…8758backed Over53c24.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab98…5854backed Under59c23.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under64c22.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Under62c22.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under64c19.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.556963.8%44 W · 25 L+0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.