South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62eaf608ff24d6c0af61cc64a20032b0c5d7352a00b5c998ef83df25477e1d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,216$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,347$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 80c | 339.24$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 335.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 58c | 303.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 54c | 302.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 280.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 211.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 46c | 209.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 72c | 204.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Over | 80c | 185.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 15c | 164.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 66c | 141$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Over | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…3235backed Over | 61c | 90.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 56c | 62.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…81b9backed Under | 42c | 58.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 43c | 51.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…3918backed Under | 63c | 48.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Over | 74c | 43.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 39c | 40.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Under | 34c | 37.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 56c | 31.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 62c | 21.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…9f48backed Over | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.