South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d280b21e9fdc8c196f1941e3436718ec813c6ea36e670342a09ecf260b32056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 3,363$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 36c | 2,701$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.49 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 46c | 1,883$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.56 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,757$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,247$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.22 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,137$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 891.86$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 47c | 571.13$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.39 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 46c | 239$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed No | 16c | 235$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 50c | 213.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 204.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 60c | 178.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 71c | 174.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 132.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed No | 50c | 124.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 60c | 111.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 61c | 106.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 61c | 106.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 61c | 106.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 61c | 106.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 46c | 88.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 45c | 75.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 64c | 55.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 60c | 40.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 61c | 40.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 64c | 24.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 57c | 19.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed No | 77c | 18.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.