Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x285e9ad722f986f6064c1151cec75464dd8522d5f0abcec9b1e3dc1cb411d7e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof FUT Esports, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 1,425$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.59 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Heretics | 70c | 1,071$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.74 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 37c | 972.75$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed FUT Esports | 37c | 922.47$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.32 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Team Heretics | 64c | 626.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.15 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed FUT Esports | 40c | 566.5$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked FUT Esports | 8c | 486$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports | 37c | 454.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed FUT Esports | 39c | 450$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Team Heretics | 61c | 329.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked FUT Esports | 22c | 129.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Team Heretics | 64c | 113.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Team Heretics | 63c | 98.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked FUT Esports | 40c | 81.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed FUT Esports | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Heretics | 61c | 63.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed FUT Esports | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 49.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Team Heretics | 60c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team Heretics | 60c | 37.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FUT Esports | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Team Heretics | 72c | 31.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Team Heretics | 64c | 27.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Team Heretics won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 3 WinnerTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 4 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.