Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7d75b081cb42668bb2d1dc0151233e45ed94192b7f47dd9914b9f229f398780

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Team Heretics
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,107 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x26f8…3452backed Team Heretics	20c	8,888$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.6	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked FUT Esports	79c	5,475$4,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.2	173	53.8%93 W · 80 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports	65c	4,048$2,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406.23	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked FUT Esports	80c	2,528$2,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.54	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed FUT Esports	21c	2,486$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,963.66	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Heretics	34c	1,051$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.14	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Heretics	45c	1,051$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.23	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed FUT Esports	80c	1,011$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.22	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Team Heretics	50c	961.25$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.94	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports	50c	930$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FUT Esports	43c	866.53$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.15	248	46%114 W · 134 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Team Heretics	56c	714.04$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed FUT Esports	67c	690.8$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.91	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Team Heretics	42c	682.23$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284	32	81.3%26 W · 6 L	+8.0wins	+0.25per pick	56cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FUT Esports	38c	519.03$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.88	301	47.2%142 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed FUT Esports	54c	499.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics	45c	499.31$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.18	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Team Heretics	30c	433.83$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Team Heretics	42c	380.25$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.78	375	45.6%171 W · 204 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Team Heretics	49c	373.33$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.4	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports	51c	370.01$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.68	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed Team Heretics	30c	370$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Team Heretics	37c	368.96$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.15	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Team Heretics	30c	332.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Heretics	24c	304.5$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.08	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed FUT Esports	34c	259.51$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.37	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Team Heretics	35c	203.63$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.27	154	50%77 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Heretics	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics	26c	184.61$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Team Heretics	30c	163.83$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked FUT Esports	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed FUT Esports	11c	145$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.05	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed FUT Esports	11c	145$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.05	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a0…335bbacked Team Heretics	52c	136.36$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Team Heretics	29c	121.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.38	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Team Heretics	59c	118.8$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	428	40%171 W · 257 L	-22.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports	63c	111.58$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.84	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked FUT Esports	14c	110$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.9	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Heretics	48c	108$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.48	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Team Heretics	45c	107.67$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.04	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed Team Heretics	25c	102.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8201…5d39backed Team Heretics	28c	102.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.62	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics	33c	95.66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.14	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6201…622cbacked FUT Esports	64c	93.52$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.52	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Team Heretics	26c	90$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	159	31.4%50 W · 109 L	-10.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FUT Esports	54c	85.81$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.47	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed FUT Esports	77c	80.16$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6219…72dabacked Team Heretics	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed FUT Esports	46c	60.43$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports	62c	59.72$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.64	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71f2…ee56backed Team Heretics	49c	59.49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ac…b7c9backed FUT Esports	65c	56.73$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.85	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Team Heretics	29c	55.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed FUT Esports	71c	54.69$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked FUT Esports	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb739…5cd7backed FUT Esports	53c	50.94$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Team Heretics	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	278	47.1%131 W · 147 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Team Heretics	29c	46.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Team Heretics	44c	45.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	60.1%164 W · 109 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked FUT Esports	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Team Heretics	31c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed FUT Esports	70c	39.4$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.92	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports	56c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.25	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Team Heretics	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…e961backed Team Heretics	36c	33.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Team Heretics	54c	30.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7f…e1edbacked FUT Esports	43c	26.88$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…ccadbacked FUT Esports	42c	24.02$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.87	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d89…5382backed FUT Esports	74c	22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.62	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Team Heretics won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 3 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 4 WinnerTeam Heretics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event