Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc94b1c3ad216f9409167b5d22c21b737f7aaf51d6470370e651c705311dd9cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof FUT Esports, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 48c | 20,939$10,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,069.61 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed FUT Esports | 41c | 11,170$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.75 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics | 59c | 10,062$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.51 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Heretics | 50c | 4,287$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.25 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 3,032$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 2,558$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.07 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 2,208$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.37 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Team Heretics | 56c | 1,742$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.89 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Heretics | 50c | 1,239$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.25 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FUT Esports | 45c | 1,155$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.47 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Team Heretics | 55c | 864.69$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.11 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 859.12$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.28 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 42c | 718.54$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed FUT Esports | 63c | 718$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 645.16$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 588.01$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Heretics | 52c | 548.71$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.71 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 530.7$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Team Heretics | 42c | 475.16$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.01 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Heretics | 62c | 457$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Heretics | 47c | 438.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.42 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Heretics | 52c | 366.35$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Team Heretics | 55c | 365.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Heretics | 56c | 354.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Team Heretics | 57c | 351.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Team Heretics | 63c | 316.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Team Heretics | 55c | 250.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Heretics | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Heretics | 54c | 247.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…335bbacked FUT Esports | 41c | 237.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Team Heretics | 52c | 213.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Team Heretics | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…86a7backed Team Heretics | 55c | 201.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Team Heretics | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Team Heretics | 55c | 181.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed FUT Esports | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FUT Esports | 41c | 163.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked FUT Esports | 26c | 152.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked FUT Esports | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed FUT Esports | 49c | 101.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed FUT Esports | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Heretics | 53c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed FUT Esports | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…e588backed Team Heretics | 55c | 70.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Team Heretics | 59c | 66.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 59.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…72dabacked Team Heretics | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…b4fdbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed FUT Esports | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed FUT Esports | 38c | 42.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked FUT Esports | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked FUT Esports | 40c | 39.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed FUT Esports | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Team Heretics | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Team Heretics | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Team Heretics | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…f4fcbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 22.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Team Heretics won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 4 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.