CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x286a97e9e8c855d874695e091a3d0a36cb29e7e4f9c54e40790bccb33555c190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Grêmio Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BESTIA | 73c | 2,535$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.71 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Grêmio Esports | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Grêmio Esports | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Grêmio Esports | 6c | 642.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grêmio Esports | 17c | 542.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed BESTIA | 73c | 500$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grêmio Esports | 14c | 402.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Grêmio Esports | 13c | 279.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed BESTIA | 58c | 266$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Grêmio Esports | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Grêmio Esports | 24c | 199$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed BESTIA | 57c | 182.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Grêmio Esports | 14c | 172.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BESTIA | 68c | 155.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Grêmio Esports | 23c | 153$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 78c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Grêmio Esports | 20c | 120.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Grêmio Esports | 36c | 104.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed BESTIA | 70c | 103.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Grêmio Esports | 36c | 101.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed BESTIA | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed BESTIA | 60c | 81.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed BESTIA | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked BESTIA | 75c | 60.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed BESTIA | 77c | 52.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Grêmio Esports | 27c | 46.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Grêmio Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked BESTIA | 68c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BESTIA | 73c | 22.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked BESTIA | 74c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed BESTIA | 77c | 19.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BESTIA | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Grêmio Esports - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.