Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Nitin Kumar Sinha vs Chun-Chien Hou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x286da944b8e1ddeba72c5b153b01e75030f2e2c54fce160628852f1d29eec289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nitin Kumar Sinhaof Nitin Kumar Sinha, Chun-Chien Hou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Nitin Kumar Sinha | 64c | 6,814$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.08 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chun-Chien Hou | 32c | 5,820$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Chun-Chien Hou | 19c | 3,619$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Nitin Kumar Sinha | 78c | 1,154$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.84 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chun-Chien Hou | 26c | 879.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nitin Kumar Sinha | 79c | 754$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Chun-Chien Hou | 24c | 527.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Nitin Kumar Sinha | 61c | 442.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chun-Chien Hou | 22c | 396.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Chun-Chien Hou | 26c | 375.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…2799backed Chun-Chien Hou | 43c | 263.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Chun-Chien Hou | 20c | 244.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nitin Kumar Sinha | 45c | 216.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Chun-Chien Hou | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chun-Chien Hou | 29c | 144.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nitin Kumar Sinha | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Chun-Chien Hou | 22c | 93.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Nitin Kumar Sinha | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Chun-Chien Hou | 41c | 86.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Nitin Kumar Sinha | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Chun-Chien Hou | 29c | 77.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Nitin Kumar Sinha | 78c | 63.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Nitin Kumar Sinha | 52c | 45.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Chun-Chien Hou | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Nitin Kumar Sinha | 80c | 35.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Nitin Kumar Sinha | 59c | 18.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.