Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x287c79376cd8564f525c86a0ac6b286dcf3e026d78d8d99efe59a1b6d0c25444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 964.58$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 72c | 639.64$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 77c | 516.61$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 22c | 446.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 71c | 442.32$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 24c | 416.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 24c | 416.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 305.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 229.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 29c | 167.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 71c | 149.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 26c | 139.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 23c | 107.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 75c | 89.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 72c | 83.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 29c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 71c | 47.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 37.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 72c | 37.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 71c | 32.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 78c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.