Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f1412fe77a4c364957acc5df9fd0feecc3c7351e348756318ffd1bbdcc8c20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 55c | 1,211$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.97 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 1,076$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.32 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 47c | 797.87$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 788.6$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.23 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 46c | 636.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 579.06$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.55 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 459.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.19 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Under | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 44c | 451.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 45c | 447.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 54c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 56c | 313.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 45c | 284.3$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 17c | 283.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 43c | 232.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 201.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 180.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 170.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Over | 52c | 164.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 45c | 110.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 95.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 44c | 85.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 43c | 80.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 54c | 79.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 79.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 26c | 75.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 45c | 67.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 56c | 50.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 41.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 57c | 39.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under | 59c | 36.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 55c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 53c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…c186backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…936dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.