CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Sangal (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d88ca70da17c2c3631bda9ffea69e43188a6805b2991ce31b9b9c2398956c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Sangal | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 60c | 2,302$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.61 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,055$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.33 | 324 | 53.7%174 W · 150 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 860$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 792.58$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.48 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 717.62$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.08 | 270 | 54.1%146 W · 124 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 613.81$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sangal | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 550.29$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.79 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…4e8fbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 532.73$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 953 | 45.8%436 W · 517 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Sangal | 64c | 400$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 662 | 50.3%333 W · 329 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 389.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 459 | 43.6%200 W · 259 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,346 | 44.1%594 W · 752 L | +45.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 326.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 322.09$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 313$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 247.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 1,406 | 66.4%933 W · 473 L | +77.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Sangal | 61c | 230.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sangal | 53c | 213.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 160.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 145.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sangal | 52c | 143$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 136.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 122$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Sangal | 61c | 121.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 631 | 56.4%356 W · 275 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 113.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 2,262 | 47.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4,275 | 49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L | +64.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Sangal | 36c | 95.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…1f47backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 581 | 49.9%290 W · 291 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 233 | 56.7%132 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sangal | 59c | 57.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Sangal | 50c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Sangal | 61c | 49.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Sangal | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 255 | 66.7%170 W · 85 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 33.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed Sangal | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…4c18backed Sangal | 45c | 29.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Sangal | 39c | 25.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Sangal | 51c | 22.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d7f4backed Sangal | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Sangal (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16Virtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.