South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290bc1b04d4f3e103440ba08317961131c4efc0967b1f6a6cd6f7d9fdd1690c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 3,590$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 5c | 2,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,383$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 34c | 949.45$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 834.5$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.22 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 547.13$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 345.83$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 66c | 289$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 102.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…bfcfbacked Yes | 34c | 56.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 34c | 50.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 33c | 43.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…0040backed No | 68c | 19.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…2b64backed No | 68c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…c43ebacked No | 68c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.