South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d2f69114abb6204e97b01fa5f3e85310bb6e2fdcce0eb48cb8f8202bfcb34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 1,263$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.25 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 1,124$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 756.04$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.67 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 461.33$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.84 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 452$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.91 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 373.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 19c | 307.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 296.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 30c | 223.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 220$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 219.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 130.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Yes | 64c | 83.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 38c | 54.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…dce1backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 29c | 46.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 33c | 39.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 50c | 39.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…74d9backed Yes | 38c | 33.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…1bebbacked Yes | 38c | 32.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…0b53backed No | 63c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…ae2abacked No | 63c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…1877backed No | 63c | 30.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…457ebacked Yes | 38c | 28.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf0…18d5backed No | 63c | 27.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 63c | 23.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 63c | 21.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 18.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b2…2658backed No | 61c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.