South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6fd2c4a5f102c041f035b2c81fe8707339e2dcf44e5a21c01987404da513d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 71c | 7,926$5,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,627.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,536$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 1,392$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 29c | 985$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.35 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 761.91$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 29c | 564$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 506$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.26 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 414$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.81 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 397$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.95 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 384$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 247.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 244.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 181$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 29c | 138.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 126.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 29c | 92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 46c | 75.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…626dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 49c | 41.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 30c | 40.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 30c | 38.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 29c | 37.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 24.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…e953backed No | 71c | 24.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad5…8a5ebacked No | 71c | 21.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…9459backed No | 71c | 20.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.