MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29215478cc11796f8279593bfd480ea2f3b96ee0a722b7ad44f49a8a31bb4f7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 2,378$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.22 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,393$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.13 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,319$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.37 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 1,052$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.22 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 455.94$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.01 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 232.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 163.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 194 | 35.6%69 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 130.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 120.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 114.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Colorado Rockies | 61c | 62.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 49.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 39.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 38.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 35.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 28.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 26.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.