MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc48088089227b63d66971a16335ba9cba5c296af3f28dd21c29653441c9c7382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 1,841$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.37 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 1,130$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.3 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 692.05$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.46 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 659.78$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 520.39$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 339.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 62c | 285$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 59c | 250$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 28c | 218.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 58c | 194.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 322 | 66.5%214 W · 108 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 67c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 33c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Under | 30c | 98.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 64.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 60.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 42.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 36.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 80c | 24.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Over | 53c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 53c | 22.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.