Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Diane Parry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x294e9076e21d996931ccf3a78d654ac9f7658043a25547e35cdae3e9e4e0ac5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cocciarettoof Cocciaretto, Parry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cocciaretto | 74c | 3,256$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.68 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Parry | 42c | 1,814$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Parry | 21c | 1,692$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cocciaretto | 67c | 1,494$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.05 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Parry | 4c | 1,160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Parry | 44c | 875.63$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Parry | 32c | 867.76$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.53 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Cocciaretto | 69c | 866.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cocciaretto | 67c | 768.72$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.26 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Parry | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…3f70backed Parry | 32c | 565.8$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Parry | 43c | 500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cocciaretto | 65c | 498.86$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Parry | 46c | 450.23$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cocciaretto | 73c | 315.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 300.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Parry | 19c | 293.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Parry | 25c | 192.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Cocciaretto | 60c | 166.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cocciaretto | 66c | 134$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Cocciaretto | 67c | 89.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Parry | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…bdb3backed Cocciaretto | 77c | 49.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Cocciaretto | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…9fc1backed Parry | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.