Tennis · resolved market
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Women: Rada Zolotareva vs Martha Matoula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x295da147a8bbde1042ef1b60b6d30b699db0df4ef641e46f599208608796ffe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rada Zolotarevaof Rada Zolotareva, Martha Matoula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rada Zolotareva | 71c | 9,060$6,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martha Matoula | 23c | 7,002$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 1,237$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Rada Zolotareva | 56c | 319.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martha Matoula | 49c | 246.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 242.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Martha Matoula | 38c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martha Matoula | 37c | 182.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rada Zolotareva | 72c | 107$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Martha Matoula | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Martha Matoula | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Martha Matoula | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Martha Matoula | 21c | 102.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Martha Matoula | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Rada Zolotareva | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Rada Zolotareva | 63c | 95.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Rada Zolotareva | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Martha Matoula | 18c | 93.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rada Zolotareva | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Martha Matoula | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Martha Matoula | 17c | 82.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martha Matoula | 16c | 79.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Martha Matoula | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Martha Matoula | 24c | 67.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martha Matoula | 22c | 62.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Martha Matoula | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Martha Matoula | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Martha Matoula | 47c | 46.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rada Zolotareva | 72c | 40.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Martha Matoula | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Martha Matoula | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Martha Matoula | 44c | 32.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Martha Matoula | 44c | 32.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Rada Zolotareva | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Rada Zolotareva | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Martha Matoula | 44c | 30.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Martha Matoula | 44c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Martha Matoula | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.