CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mousquetaires vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296eb568ddaf945e89a9b9ed10844c4fc801c94486b470f479012cf55b1def20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Mousquetaires, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,081 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mousquetaires | 0c | 4,478$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 68c | 2,294$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.55 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 73c | 2,110$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.33 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Ursa | 57c | 1,794$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.17 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mousquetaires | 31c | 1,750$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.95 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mousquetaires | 29c | 1,203$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mousquetaires | 46c | 1,203$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.08 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mousquetaires | 32c | 1,192$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.67 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Mousquetaires | 26c | 1,181$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Mousquetaires | 21c | 1,092$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ursa | 72c | 1,022$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…764fbacked Mousquetaires | 26c | 943$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ursa | 78c | 915.09$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Ursa | 67c | 913.76$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.89 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Mousquetaires | 29c | 734.37$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…68a9backed Mousquetaires | 26c | 730$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 70c | 728.94$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed Ursa | 53c | 685.82$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.75 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Mousquetaires | 31c | 658.8$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Mousquetaires | 29c | 609$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.61 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ursa | 57c | 600.24$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.54 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Mousquetaires | 18c | 521$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed Mousquetaires | 7c | 465.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 453$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Mousquetaires | 25c | 426.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Ursa | 71c | 382.89$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Mousquetaires | 27c | 371.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Mousquetaires | 30c | 370$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc761…0470backed Ursa | 74c | 356$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…321fbacked Ursa | 74c | 354$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 313$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Mousquetaires | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Mousquetaires | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 298.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…595dbacked Ursa | 74c | 293$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Mousquetaires | 29c | 289.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Mousquetaires | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Ursa | 67c | 271$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…3ef2backed Ursa | 74c | 265$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mousquetaires | 29c | 259.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e77fbacked Ursa | 74c | 232$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 200.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked Mousquetaires | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…5890backed Ursa | 74c | 172$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Mousquetaires | 34c | 168.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Ursa | 66c | 160.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Mousquetaires | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Ursa | 62c | 138.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Mousquetaires | 34c | 121.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…cde0backed Mousquetaires | 27c | 114$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Mousquetaires | 33c | 104.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc56…a41fbacked Mousquetaires | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mousquetaires | 24c | 100.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Ursa | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ursa | 72c | 88.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mousquetaires | 33c | 82.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Mousquetaires | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mousquetaires | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ursa | 64c | 73.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 69c | 72.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mousquetaires | 20c | 72.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mousquetaires | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ursa | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Mousquetaires | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…2281backed Mousquetaires | 36c | 55.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked Mousquetaires | 37c | 53.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…e75dbacked Ursa | 78c | 51.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Ursa | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Ursa | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Ursa | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mousquetaires | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Mousquetaires | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…52f3backed Ursa | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Mousquetaires | 50c | 48.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Mousquetaires | 30c | 48.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked Ursa | 60c | 46.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Mousquetaires | 45c | 42.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…604cbacked Mousquetaires | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…6a5abacked Ursa | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Mousquetaires | 45c | 40.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Mousquetaires | 42c | 40.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Mousquetaires | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Mousquetaires | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mousquetaires | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…126cbacked Ursa | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…d84ebacked Ursa | 60c | 36.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Mousquetaires | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Mousquetaires | 40c | 34.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…9f40backed Ursa | 79c | 34.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39a…b9bfbacked Ursa | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…b607backed Ursa | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Ursa | 65c | 30.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Mousquetaires | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 61c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked Ursa | 68c | 24.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…babfbacked Ursa | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…40efbacked Ursa | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Ursa | 58c | 19.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Mousquetaires vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Mousquetaires vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerMousquetaires won
- Counter-Strike: Mousquetaires vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Mousquetaires (+1.5)Mousquetaires won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.