Cricket · resolved market
T20 Thailand Open: Japan vs Bahrain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x298fb2069fc6f08b437ece778374423e24ae08c8a49649666a95443372cf701e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Japanof Japan, Bahrain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bahrain | 16c | 621.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Japan | 31c | 555.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bahrain | 29c | 434.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bahrain | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Bahrain | 69c | 300$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Japan | 80c | 296.69$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Bahrain | 69c | 285.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…155ebacked Bahrain | 31c | 283.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bahrain | 37c | 205.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Japan | 45c | 201.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Japan | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bahrain | 11c | 183.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…1212backed Bahrain | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Japan | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Japan | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Bahrain | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Japan | 71c | 56.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Japan | 31c | 45.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Japan | 70c | 42.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Japan | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Japan | 63c | 30.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Bahrain | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Bahrain | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.