TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Morocco: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moroccoof Scotland, Morocco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6797…7697backed Scotland46c647.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick30cpaid-84.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Scotland36c541.06$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6733555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Morocco63c505.76$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.164854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Morocco65c309.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.447847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Morocco52c172.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Scotland36c166.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0817737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Morocco53c112.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7223858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Morocco53c112.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7243460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Morocco64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3647049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510a…995abacked Scotland43c45.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.664341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Morocco51c31.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.447354.8%40 W · 33 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeae4…5c60backed Morocco64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2911343.4%49 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.