Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d174ddd409ac5fada82a20cd0e2e1488d1cbb82bca016e720eac333e3461cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 39c | 2,094$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.16 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Over | 58c | 749.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 61c | 732.66$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.31 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Over | 61c | 508.36$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ac…841ebacked Over | 60c | 417.62$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 42c | 350.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Over | 61c | 319.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 61c | 308.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 38c | 291.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.87 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 245.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…4869backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 240.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 44c | 174.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…8f0dbacked Over | 62c | 161.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…3769backed Under | 42c | 119.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 62c | 113.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d0dfbacked Over | 60c | 89.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…5040backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 60c | 78.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 40c | 74.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 40c | 73.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 41c | 42.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…fc38backed Under | 50c | 34.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Over | 58c | 31.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…37dfbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 58c | 23.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c2…e2d9backed Under | 67c | 22.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…f953backed Over | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…f8dabacked Under | 60c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Scotland vs. Morocco: Team to Take First CornerMorocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.