TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,013 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under56c369.86$207 inWon+$162.7434357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c289.27$125 inLost-$125.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c218.99$127 inWon+$92.223,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over42c73.42$31 inLost-$30.841,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost-$3019548.7%95 W · 100 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x361a…ea72backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost-$304454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708e…d03fbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost-$303132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe75…27dabacked Under60c50$30 inWon+$202236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa038…5b70backed Over43c46.68$20 inLost-$20.292927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c45.52$26 inWon+$19.123,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over40c35$14 inLost-$1440163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x27de…9b6abacked Over42c30.95$13 inLost-$132123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Under60c30$18 inWon+$1230060%180 W · 120 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac82…04c1backed Over41c25.08$10 inLost-$10.283935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under61c25$15 inWon+$9.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37aa…01f4backed Under59c20$12 inWon+$8.23545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.