CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a954067cb1c2b8d3a925e4464504cbdce790d7340f96a9d696e9aad5d1b886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof SPARTA, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed KOLESIE | 77c | 765.4$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked KOLESIE | 73c | 603.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SPARTA | 14c | 229.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed KOLESIE | 58c | 163.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 24c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed KOLESIE | 69c | 159.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA | 23c | 158.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked KOLESIE | 68c | 147.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed SPARTA | 38c | 136.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed SPARTA | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 26c | 106.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 32c | 87.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked KOLESIE | 73c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SPARTA | 30c | 71.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 35c | 52.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 30c | 48.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 36c | 47.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SPARTA | 26c | 47.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KOLESIE | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SPARTA | 40c | 45.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked KOLESIE | 69c | 30.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed KOLESIE | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed KOLESIE | 73c | 21.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed KOLESIE | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed KOLESIE | 64c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)KOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.