Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Mathieu Scaglia vs Maxwell McKennon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29af2be508aec0a7a38ac3bd611ee824281c7d64a20b6340615911809223c3bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mathieu Scagliaof Mathieu Scaglia, Maxwell McKennon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maxwell McKennon | 60c | 3,274$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Mathieu Scaglia | 32c | 1,855$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.4 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Mathieu Scaglia | 31c | 1,062$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.11 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Mathieu Scaglia | 74c | 412.16$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 36c | 359.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.31 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mathieu Scaglia | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mathieu Scaglia | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Maxwell McKennon | 42c | 153.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Mathieu Scaglia | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Mathieu Scaglia | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Mathieu Scaglia | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mathieu Scaglia | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxwell McKennon | 68c | 141.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mathieu Scaglia | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mathieu Scaglia | 16c | 126.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mathieu Scaglia | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Maxwell McKennon | 63c | 111.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mathieu Scaglia | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Mathieu Scaglia | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Mathieu Scaglia | 71c | 67.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Mathieu Scaglia | 37c | 51.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mathieu Scaglia | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Mathieu Scaglia | 47c | 48.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mathieu Scaglia | 36c | 41.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Maxwell McKennon | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Maxwell McKennon | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…6998backed Maxwell McKennon | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.