Fifa International · resolved market
Will Korea Republic vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b7499e5175523b83716c2acb6e401c84866035c9f900540b7f1baa08b95027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 14,632$10,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.3 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…27c0backed Yes | 30c | 12,043$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 8,418$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 30c | 3,279$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 29c | 2,604$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.11 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 30c | 2,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,001$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 69c | 1,158$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed No | 71c | 436.77$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…0fa8backed Yes | 29c | 237.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 29c | 169.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes | 31c | 161.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 31c | 141.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 12c | 115.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…c215backed Yes | 30c | 99.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abd…dfcfbacked Yes | 28c | 89.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 70c | 72.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 71c | 71.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 76c | 54.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 69c | 21.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Korea Republic vs. Paraguay end in a draw?this page
- Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-14?Yes won
- Will Paraguay win on 2025-10-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.