Euroleague · resolved market
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29cbc773ba369e32fc9b5b158075aeec6bc5371bf06cb0f5474b196647c442fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Flying Leopardsof Shenzhen Leopards, Liaoning Flying Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,935 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 54c | 6,879$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.42 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shenzhen Leopards | 41c | 4,208$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.24 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Shenzhen Leopards | 1c | 3,696$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Shenzhen Leopards | 45c | 2,935$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.16 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 55c | 1,408$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.32 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 1,399$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.11 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 41c | 723.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shenzhen Leopards | 43c | 691.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shenzhen Leopards | 21c | 659.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 18c | 540$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 19c | 446.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Shenzhen Leopards | 45c | 397$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Shenzhen Leopards | 47c | 330.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 38c | 260.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…adafbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 61c | 247.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Shenzhen Leopards | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 37c | 153.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shenzhen Leopards | 44c | 148.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 60c | 139.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 49c | 102.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 46c | 96.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 50c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 56c | 64.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 42c | 60.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8a…20b8backed Shenzhen Leopards | 47c | 52.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Shenzhen Leopards | 40c | 51.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…ffd7backed Shenzhen Leopards | 58c | 43.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 49c | 38.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 38.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shenzhen Leopards | 31c | 37.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…a914backed Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 37.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Shenzhen Leopards | 68c | 36.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 35c | 36.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Shenzhen Leopards | 66c | 35.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Shenzhen Leopards | 59c | 34.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 34.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shenzhen Leopards | 66c | 33.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…ece0backed Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 33.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Shenzhen Leopards | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Shenzhen Leopards | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 66c | 24.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shenzhen Leopards | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 64c | 20.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Shenzhen Leopards | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.