Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e85ff0ea0e18b9638e8b02628434e858bf44711ab9049ba091a2169b6c34c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolina State Bulldogsof Norfolk State Spartans, South Carolina State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,350 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Norfolk State Spartans | 56c | 471.89$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.51 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 44c | 258.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 54c | 94.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 53c | 62.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Norfolk State Spartans | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 56.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 55c | 48.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 44c | 41.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 56c | 26.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Norfolk State Spartans | 49c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-7.5)this page
- South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State SpartansSouth Carolina State Bulldogs won
- South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartans: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-8.5)South Carolina State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.