Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartans: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412c022f1e14769ffc33b9b208ffe6123c7d156be8e056addfa5d06797b32c86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,963 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 51c | 621.52$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 24c | 482.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Over | 47c | 449.08$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 383.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 300.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 48c | 190.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…f63dbacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 11c | 145.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 56c | 130.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 127.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 123.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 60c | 119.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 118.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 19c | 112.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 40c | 109.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…9299backed Under | 12c | 95.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 92.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 63c | 53.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 45c | 47.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c5…03eabacked Under | 52c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 36.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 55c | 31.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Under | 46c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 29.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Under | 49c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartans: O/U 144.5this page
- South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State SpartansSouth Carolina State Bulldogs won
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-7.5)South Carolina State Bulldogs won
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-8.5)South Carolina State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.