CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29ea51671c6c52679743c80f2e35740a77d93eb5bbbb369b0714d84f48fb0eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof ASTRAL, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x582a…ae39backed RUSTEC | 70c | 579.25$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed ASTRAL | 51c | 562.95$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed RUSTEC | 48c | 561.9$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.26 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked RUSTEC | 70c | 427.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 48c | 369.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 27c | 334$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL | 41c | 270.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ASTRAL | 23c | 225.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ASTRAL | 23c | 215.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ASTRAL | 32c | 214.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked ASTRAL | 33c | 186.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked ASTRAL | 36c | 178.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked RUSTEC | 77c | 153.89$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed RUSTEC | 58c | 147.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ASTRAL | 25c | 147.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 74c | 141.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed ASTRAL | 41c | 130.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RUSTEC | 45c | 123.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RUSTEC | 58c | 121.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 25c | 102.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ASTRAL | 52c | 99.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked RUSTEC | 49c | 98.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked ASTRAL | 32c | 96.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked RUSTEC | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked ASTRAL | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed RUSTEC | 48c | 87.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ASTRAL | 43c | 82.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ASTRAL | 41c | 76.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 55c | 74.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…1c32backed ASTRAL | 25c | 68.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked ASTRAL | 32c | 67.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed RUSTEC | 49c | 66.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RUSTEC | 33c | 66.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RUSTEC | 58c | 61.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed ASTRAL | 66c | 58.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed ASTRAL | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…c438backed RUSTEC | 58c | 50.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked ASTRAL | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…23dbbacked RUSTEC | 51c | 47.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed RUSTEC | 55c | 45.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed RUSTEC | 48c | 40.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ASTRAL | 57c | 36.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed RUSTEC | 70c | 34.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed ASTRAL | 52c | 30.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked ASTRAL | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ASTRAL | 52c | 29.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed RUSTEC | 80c | 27.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…47b9backed RUSTEC | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL | 48c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ASTRAL | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked ASTRAL | 60c | 20.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed ASTRAL | 61c | 16.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked ASTRAL | 74c | 16.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed ASTRAL | 74c | 14.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.