Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a5afab31ab63151782af59f3ec36f6739d7a4e356541d3ec94ed3a8bc816f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof NAVI Junior, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 53c | 1,088$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed CGN Esports | 65c | 473.85$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked NAVI Junior | 35c | 445.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CGN Esports | 45c | 361.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed CGN Esports | 58c | 255$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed NAVI Junior | 50c | 248.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed CGN Esports | 50c | 248.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NAVI Junior | 54c | 242.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed NAVI Junior | 32c | 226.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked CGN Esports | 43c | 177.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CGN Esports | 48c | 134.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed CGN Esports | 56c | 106.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed NAVI Junior | 46c | 90.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed CGN Esports | 70c | 85.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CGN Esports | 56c | 80.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CGN Esports | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NAVI Junior | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NAVI Junior | 63c | 53.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NAVI Junior | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…b417backed CGN Esports | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked CGN Esports | 56c | 38.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CGN Esports | 71c | 32.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked CGN Esports | 40c | 27.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed NAVI Junior | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)NAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group ANAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports - Map 1 WinnerNAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.