Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17aed7bcff0ed3d11666d8906858d057dac96bb72374af614787537c667cb149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof CGN Esports, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed NAVI Junior | 58c | 1,845$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.12 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked NAVI Junior | 58c | 1,450$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.08 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed CGN Esports | 43c | 1,188$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed CGN Esports | 41c | 1,076$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.27 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked CGN Esports | 40c | 692.32$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.51 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 597.2$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed CGN Esports | 42c | 576.19$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed CGN Esports | 42c | 526.37$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 500$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 380.16$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed CGN Esports | 40c | 358.41$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed CGN Esports | 39c | 273$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed CGN Esports | 41c | 270.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked CGN Esports | 41c | 255$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed NAVI Junior | 61c | 253$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed CGN Esports | 39c | 214.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed CGN Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NAVI Junior | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 182.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed CGN Esports | 40c | 130.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed NAVI Junior | 61c | 121.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CGN Esports | 41c | 109.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 94.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 90.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 71.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed CGN Esports | 41c | 69.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…f78abacked CGN Esports | 39c | 62.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…8f34backed CGN Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked NAVI Junior | 61c | 48.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CGN Esports | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 36.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked CGN Esports | 41c | 33.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked CGN Esports | 37c | 30.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed NAVI Junior | 74c | 25.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed NAVI Junior | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed NAVI Junior | 49c | 22.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c0…87dfbacked NAVI Junior | 59c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed NAVI Junior | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group ANAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports - Map 1 WinnerNAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.