Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a1cacb4dc7a5a7d595173755ea0cd5c373d4bb9ec479f908ea811b157352303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof NAVI Junior, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed CGN Esports | 38c | 8,888$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.99 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NAVI Junior | 59c | 5,262$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.73 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked NAVI Junior | 73c | 1,162$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.22 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NAVI Junior | 75c | 1,071$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 60c | 1,069$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.82 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NAVI Junior | 75c | 727.27$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed NAVI Junior | 75c | 427.68$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed CGN Esports | 37c | 387$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed CGN Esports | 19c | 380$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked NAVI Junior | 67c | 296.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed CGN Esports | 20c | 270$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NAVI Junior | 53c | 258.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked NAVI Junior | 43c | 235.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +8.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked CGN Esports | 46c | 217.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked CGN Esports | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed CGN Esports | 19c | 119.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CGN Esports | 22c | 117.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CGN Esports | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed NAVI Junior | 52c | 89.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed NAVI Junior | 53c | 81.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed NAVI Junior | 56c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CGN Esports | 35c | 78.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed NAVI Junior | 55c | 76.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CGN Esports | 20c | 66.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked CGN Esports | 31c | 64.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked CGN Esports | 52c | 57.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 54.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed CGN Esports | 45c | 54.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CGN Esports | 40c | 50.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CGN Esports | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CGN Esports | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked NAVI Junior | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed NAVI Junior | 57c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked NAVI Junior | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed CGN Esports | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…084ebacked CGN Esports | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…732dbacked NAVI Junior | 73c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)NAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group ANAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.