Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a62bc679545013b8cb6bfa18004e0b810c9697449d0d765cedad26b56f03794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 57c | 643.03$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 461.37$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 265.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 42c | 200.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 57c | 174.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 31.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.