Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6577afda5630d8f75f6e2a67c6c79f9b8220ee1d26199c80567ebe2090702e49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 6,025$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Over | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 63c | 1,183$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 78c | 576.92$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 503.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 495.61$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Over | 62c | 449.31$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…d24abacked Over | 52c | 190.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 76c | 184$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 180$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Over | 74c | 148.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 69c | 146.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 78c | 105.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 56c | 97.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 50.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 77c | 39.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…0528backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…7b8dbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked Over | 76c | 17.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.