Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a65972da427361b1be34e17ad00db25f3e643f0bcf5453552644fe77471d2f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Illinois Huskiesof Central Michigan Chippewas, Northern Illinois Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 11c | 2,440$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.23 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 3c | 1,919$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 69c | 1,828$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 48c | 1,272$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 74c | 1,270$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 26c | 733.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 46c | 700$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 54c | 495$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 56c | 483.93$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 42c | 386.46$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 360.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 32c | 317.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 56c | 255.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 75c | 147.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 27c | 92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 17c | 86.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesthis page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 147.5Under won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 148.5Under won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Illinois Huskies (-1.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
- Spread: Northern Illinois Huskies (-2.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.