MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a97682b9d568467a6b5dc42aa36681bd8706bd5d51534dfd96ee869883b2b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Eaglesof Lotte Giants, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lotte Giants | 3c | 937$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 861.94$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 510$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 197.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 153.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Lotte Giants | 65c | 149.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 113.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 103.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 96.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hanwha Eagles | 73c | 67.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 23c | 64.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 56.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 50.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 48.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 39.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 35.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Hanwha Eagles | 55c | 34.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 28.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 27.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Hanwha Eagles | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 20.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Hanwha Eagles | 77c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.