Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Maribel Aguilar Gasperin vs Ashleigh Harvey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aabcfb37dceb662bc94b74950d2fcc1d913574a9eb9f64c5821d5d95bee835f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maribel Aguilar Gasperinof Maribel Aguilar Gasperin, Ashleigh Harvey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ashleigh Harvey | 48c | 2,631$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.31 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 40c | 607.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.06 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 51c | 597.1$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.61 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…b843backed Ashleigh Harvey | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 37c | 320$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 64c | 244.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 24c | 231.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 47c | 203.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 27c | 166.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 37c | 139$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 39c | 92.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ashleigh Harvey | 62c | 88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…4b80backed Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 25c | 69.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Ashleigh Harvey | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Maribel Aguilar Gasperin | 41c | 24.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ashleigh Harvey | 66c | 18.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Ashleigh Harvey | 62c | 16.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.