Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b468385aafa103c920b5535bb3b40b5430791c67db0d55899be05f6d6bef2f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 39,198$18,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,031.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 62c | 22,776$14,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,195.46 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 33c | 13,987$4,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,371.61 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 12,706$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.69 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 3c | 4,521$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 2,107$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.97 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 1,587$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.29 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 25c | 1,189$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.99 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 1,100$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.53 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 1,091$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.88 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 2c | 940$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 28c | 779.47$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.22 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 45c | 756.7$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 20c | 699$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 648.98$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.47 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 53c | 592.66$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 53c | 566.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 40c | 553.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 548.65$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.91 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 48c | 500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 52c | 439$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 38c | 414.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 36c | 405$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.85 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…7985backed No | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…dc3cbacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9aa…11f7backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 45c | 203.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 68c | 198.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 65c | 118.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 53c | 117.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 79c | 115$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 53c | 91.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed No | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 79c | 86.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 42c | 82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 52c | 77.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 32c | 74.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…a5a8backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 53c | 67.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 18c | 56.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 54.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked Yes | 47c | 53.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed No | 23c | 47.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 47c | 43.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed No | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 68c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-23?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Metz end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.