Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Southern Illinois Salukis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b48caf9eed46064b17af0ad654b8914b88b706f8d2b3449aa878fc14f64bf0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois State Redbirdsof Illinois State Redbirds, Southern Illinois Salukis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 60c | 1,500$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.65 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois State Redbirds | 30c | 1,245$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.43 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Illinois State Redbirds | 59c | 1,205$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 700$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.6 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 8c | 621$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 26c | 604.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 528$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 522$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 73c | 500.91$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.9 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 57c | 477$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.29 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 436.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.02 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 264.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 252$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 248$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois State Redbirds | 78c | 241.3$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 44c | 217.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 193$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Illinois State Redbirds | 64c | 112.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 42.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 57c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.