Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Rina Saigo vs Celia Cervino Ruiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8bc577b714cda4c3fc3a09830bc9b350b4c1b0c31c76d96d372dfba50debcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rina Saigoof Rina Saigo, Celia Cervino Ruiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 33c | 40,358$13,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,355.38 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rina Saigo | 65c | 36,442$23,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,575.55 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 2c | 9,796$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.87 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Rina Saigo | 50c | 5,307$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rina Saigo | 69c | 4,195$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.1 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 40c | 1,865$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.75 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 32c | 1,108$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.3 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Rina Saigo | 73c | 767.96$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 382 | 57.6%220 W · 162 L | +19.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rina Saigo | 61c | 477.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.7 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Rina Saigo | 70c | 409.95$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 874 | 50.6%442 W · 432 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Rina Saigo | 79c | 404.21$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 39c | 304.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rina Saigo | 61c | 285.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 36c | 278.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rina Saigo | 46c | 224.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 19c | 186.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Rina Saigo | 64c | 181.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Rina Saigo | 80c | 156.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 383 | 59.8%229 W · 154 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 33c | 151.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 33c | 151.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 36c | 118.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 45c | 112.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Rina Saigo | 71c | 93.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 23c | 93.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Rina Saigo | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Rina Saigo | 66c | 88.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 1,418 | 55%780 W · 638 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 40c | 78.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 62c | 77.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rina Saigo | 68c | 77.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Rina Saigo | 74c | 75.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 38c | 68.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 57c | 63.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Rina Saigo | 64c | 63.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Rina Saigo | 68c | 56.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,071 | 73.9%791 W · 280 L | +41.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Rina Saigo | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Rina Saigo | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 34c | 50.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 32c | 44.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rina Saigo | 66c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 39c | 38.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 461 | 51.6%238 W · 223 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rina Saigo | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rina Saigo | 31c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 33c | 30.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Rina Saigo | 67c | 29.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Rina Saigo | 66c | 26.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +26.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…e80bbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 56c | 25.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 48c | 21.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e62…716ebacked Rina Saigo | 75c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e7…55a9backed Rina Saigo | 56c | 19.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…a9c6backed Rina Saigo | 79c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Rina Saigo | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 267 | 64.8%173 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Rina Saigo | 71c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.