Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Brentford?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bccec1b9a266f43af1d8c785725a44100c73a2d632daa9c31b59f0d86109f55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 33c | 899.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 67c | 348$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 17c | 290.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 35c | 269.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Yes | 65c | 190.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…e2b9backed Yes | 63c | 111.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…3867backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 53.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…60e7backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 36c | 42.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…19f0backed Yes | 64c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…8856backed Yes | 64c | 32.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…fafbbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…9032backed Yes | 64c | 28.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…ba90backed Yes | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…2947backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…0badbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…7e58backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…7333backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Brentford?this page
- Will Brentford beat Tottenham?No won
- Will Tottenham vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.