Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bec54330e4050d5255f6e0f94056ed4721b507e49bc2aed7a197db679d62ef9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,337$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 1,072$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 67c | 747.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 698.24$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 72c | 389.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 30c | 349.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 347.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…1591backed Over | 70c | 343.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 301.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 29c | 300.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 69c | 295$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 70c | 207.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Over | 69c | 194.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 68c | 158$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 68c | 146.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 67c | 123.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 32c | 115.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 69c | 100.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…fbb7backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked Over | 69c | 64.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 62.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 32c | 62.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 72c | 54.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 69c | 30.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed Over | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…15e3backed Over | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…7191backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.